The Lateral Mortgage Swap
(A Rational Plan for Resuscitating
the Housing Market)
(opinion/commentary)
REOs are bank-owned properties which have been vacated, and are either
being held in anticipation of sale, or have been sold, usually at
significant losses, and usually in large lots of several thousand. This
proposal seeks to utilize that inventory of already foreclosed and
vacated properties, to restart the housing market by facilitating a
swap between the owners of homes who face foreclosure now, and private
investors willing to purchase distressed mortgages at a discount:
- The fundamental problem with
helping out mortgage holders who are at risk of losing their homes is
that a) in many cases, they are partially to blame for attempting to
buy a house they couldn't afford in the first place, and b) even if the
mortgages are adjusted down sufficiently to help these people, in many
cases there's a real risk that they'll be in trouble again within 6-12
months anyway.
- There are some substantial portfolios
of REOs which are sitting out there in limbo, waiting to see what the
government is going to do. These properties tend to trade in
the $.38 to $.46 per dollar range, relative to the last appraisal at the time of
sale. Since many of these have already been sold to private investors,
the banks have already recognized their losses.
- I am assuming the number of at risk
mortgages is currently in excess of 2-million.
The cost of a foreclosure is exacerbated by several factors, among them
legal delays caused by attorneys who protract the process trying to
negotiate adjustments, and damage to the property by the foreclosed
owners on the way out if it comes to that. So there's a measurable
value to putting in place a plan that quickly ascertains the prospect
of staying in the home, and then motivating those that can't to take
benign action right away.